Globally,
spatial distributions of fish stock are increasingly shifting in latitude as
well as depth. Although arguably intensive fishing pressures plays a role,
however, patterns observed recently are most likely attributed to recent
climate change and increases in seawater temperature. It is widely known that changes
in sea temperatures may influence fishes through their growth, reproduction and
their food web from changes at other trophic levels. Species having limited
dispersal capability of responding to the changes or have troubles finding a
suitable habitat may potentially face widespread extinction. Research has shown
species that recently responded to the changing conditions tend to have faster
life cycles and smaller body size than non-shifting species – meaning that some
species are currently losing or might lose out in the future!
Shoal of Fish Migrating!
Shoal of Fish Migrating!
Allison Perry and her colleagues noted that temperatures of the North Sea water have increased by an average of 0.6 degrees between 1962-2001. Their research showed that Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), scaldfish (Arnoglossus laterna), snakeblenny (Lumpenus lampretaeformis) and common sole (Solea solea) have all shifted northwards with a distance ranging from 48 – 403 kilometers (WOW!). 403 kilometers seems as though a huge but unsurprising number, as the rates of migration are likely much higher than other wildlife (such as butterflies) since they are less likely to face barriers and constraints during the process.
Similarly, Engelhard and his team examined
historical and contemporary fisheries data and revealed that current
distribution of North Sea cod – located mainly in northeastern parts of the
North Sea is entirely opposite to the distribution in 20th century,
where they were mainly found in the west, just off the coast of England and
Scotland. They suggested that the northward shift is likely due to warming,
however, intensive fishing pressures have likely caused the eastward shift
shown.
Future
estimation by UK Climate Impacts Programme suggested that North Sea
water temperatures are predicted to increase by 1 to 2.5 degrees by 2050. And
it has been suggested that blue whiting, redfishes and many more species may
completely retract from the North Sea by 2050!
Sad :/